A sudden spike in container shipping rates from China to the US is reshaping global trade flows. Driven by a new US–China tariff rollback agreement, American importers are scrambling to move goods before potential renegotiations or policy shifts take effect. Freight rates for 40-foot high cube containers (40HQ) are expected to climb by $1,000, according to YQN's logistics experts.
The 11.5% mutual tariff reduction between the US and China has triggered an immediate reaction across the trans-Pacific trade. Retailers and importers are rushing to lock in shipping capacity, resulting in a booking surge that has quickly depleted available container slots.
"We're moving into full gear," said Jay Foreman, CEO of Florida-based toy maker Basic Fun. "We've had to immediately coordinate with Chinese trucking companies to pick up goods and secure container space."
Data from YQN Logistics indicates that trans-Pacific shipping routes are now fully booked through late May, with both East and West Coast destinations reporting critical shortages.
"Space is extremely tight. We still have limited capacity available, but it's moving quickly," a YQN spokesperson confirmed.
The company forecasts container shipping rates from China to the US will rise by $1,000 per 40HQ in the second half of May. Analysts attribute this to pent-up demand, combined with lingering supply chain imbalances and renewed urgency among US importers.
Industry insiders warn the surge may lead to triple disruptions: capacity shortages, inflated freight rates, and port congestion.
Container volumes on US-bound routes had previously fallen 30–40% year-over-year in April, prompting carriers to cancel over 80 sailings and shift vessels to European and Latin American routes. With the sudden rebound in demand, carriers are now reversing course.
"Sailings suspended earlier this year are now being reinstated," said YQN logistics expert. "Additional capacity will gradually return over the next few weeks."
With more containers on the water, US ports—especially Los Angeles and Long Beach—may soon face mounting pressure.
"If too many containers arrive within a short window, it will inevitably lead to unloading delays and terminal congestion," the YQN team noted.
Still, YQN's analysts believe operations may remain stable unless major labor disputes or weather disruptions arise. Container shipping cost from China to US will likely rise due to tightening capacity, increased demand, and ongoing supply chain imbalances.
The current frenzy marks a dramatic shift from earlier in the year when higher tariffs froze billions in shipments.
"Even if we act now, arrivals will still lag behind previous years," one US importer said. "But if the deadlock had continued, we’d be risking empty shelves by fall."
Monty Sharma, CEO of LA-based health brand Therabody, added, “In 40 years, I’ve never been so relieved to see a 30% cost spike—because it means we can finally move goods again.”
With Amazon Prime Day approaching in July, cross-border e-commerce sellers are adding to the pressure. Massive early bookings could cause inventory overflow at US warehouses, especially as the North American peak shipping season nears.
Despite the tariff relief, 24% of mutual duties remain, and the current agreement includes only a 90-day delay on further trade actions. Experts warn this short window could prompt even more frontloading.
In summary, with booking pressure building and capacity still constrained, container shipping rates from China to the US are expected to remain high in the coming weeks. Retailers, manufacturers, and e-commerce players alike are advised to plan shipments early, secure reliable logistics partners, and monitor market conditions closely.
YQN has established strategic partnerships with over 3,500 global shipping suppliers to provide the most competitive rates and professional logistics services. For the latest updates on the cost of shipping container from China to US, visit www.yqn.com or contact info@yqn.com for exclusive booking offers and freight insights.
YQN has established subsidiaries worldwide, covering North America, Latin America, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East. We have partnered with 300+ top shipping and airline companies and have access to 3500+ high-quality supplier resources. YQN also has a professional customer service and fulfillment team of over 500 people to provide more worry-free and efficient international logistics services.
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